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Posted by Nelayan Forex On April - 23 - 2013

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Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130729

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 7/28/2013 08:17:00 PM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis:

eurjpyWEEK

The EUR/JPY pair fell over the course of the week, bouncing off of the 130 level in the end. We expect 130 to be supportive, so a supportive candle were to form in this general vicinity, we would be more than happy to start buying. However, the range is so tight at the moment that we feel this is more or less a short-term market. Of course, we see plenty of upside bias and therefore aren’t selling regardless. Below here, expect quite a bit of support at 128 and 125, with 125 being almost impenetrable.

 

As for the Monday 29th daily forecast:

The EUR/JPY pair had a very bearish day on Friday, slamming into the 130 handle. We lost 200 pips during the session, what we found interesting is the fact that the 130 level stop this fall dead in its tracks. That doesn’t happen very often, and will normally when it does it shows just how strong a supportive level is. With that being the case, this market looks like it’s ready to find a bounce from this level, and perhaps go quite a bit higher. We’re looking for supportive candles in this general vicinity, and will not hesitate to buy them as they appear.
This candle does look rather bearish, but the fact that the area could stop it is cleanly as it did really has us wondering whether or not this wasn’t simple profit taking at the end of the week that was exacerbating the downdraft. Because of this, we feel that this market will get picked up somewhere in the general vicinity, and because of that we are more than willing to start buying the Euro, and start selling the Yen. Going forward, we fully expect this market to hit the 133 level again, not to mention the 135 level and beyond.
As far as selling is concerned, it’s almost an impossibility at this point in time. This is simply because the 130 level has several hammers just underneath it, which of course is almost always a sign of significant support. Below there, one 28 level looks to be supportive as well, as it is where the bottom of those hammers are sitting. With that in mind, we are buying this pair and if you are a bit aggressive, and you could even start buying right now.

However, the more conservative trader will want to see some type of supportive candle formed before they go ahead and start committing their trading capital. Either way is fine, as we think the market has certainly settled on the direction it once the go over the longer term. We fully expect see 135 hit over the next couple of months, and are plain this pair as such.



Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130722

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 7/19/2013 10:55:00 PM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis:

eurjpyWEEK

The EUR/JPY pair rose during the previous week, breaking the top of the hammer from the week before. This suggests to us the market is about to go higher, and probably aim for 133 in the short term. We ultimately believe that this is a nice buy signal, and are perfectly comfortable buying it right here as far as selling is concerned, we will not do so because of the Bank of Japan, and look at any pullback as a potential buying opportunity as this market seems to have a long way to go still.



As for the Monday 22nd daily forecast:

The EUR/JPY pair fell during the session on Friday, but as you can see bounced from the 131 handle. This hammer does suggest that we are going higher, and quite frankly looking at the weekly charts it’s hard to argue that point. With that being said, we expect a break of the top of this hammer to signal that we are going higher, and possibly to the 135 handle before it’s all said and done. Pullbacks should be thought of as buying opportunities, and we think that the 130 handle should offer significant support as well.



Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130715

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 7/13/2013 03:26:00 PM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis:

eurjpyWEEK

The EUR/JPY pair fell during the balance of the week, but as you can see the market bounced enough to form a hammer. It seems like this market is simply attracted to the 130 handle, so it doesn’t surprise us to see that the market is closed just below it. That being the case, we think that it’s only a matter of time before this market breaks out to the upside, and a move above the highs from this past week would be a valid buy signal after all. Because of this, we fully expect see this market grind higher, and feel that it’s only a matter of time before we reach for the 135 level.



As for the Monday 15th daily forecast:

The EUR/JPY pair had a slightly positive session on Friday, but as you can see the market still remains below the 130 level. This is an area that’s been a bit of a magnet lately, in this market does look like it’s trying to form a supportive based in this general vicinity. However, there’s nothing in this chart that tells us that we need to necessarily go along at this point. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan is certainly going to work against the value of the yen anyway, so selling is an even a thought at this point in time.



Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130708

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 7/07/2013 01:31:00 PM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis:

eurjpyWEEK

The EUR/JPY pair went back and forth over the course of the last week, eventually closing just below the 130 handle. This candle is relatively neutral though, and as a result it suggests that the support that we have seen over the last couple of weeks should continue to keep this market going higher. Granted, the Euro itself is looking relatively weak, but the Yen continues get absolutely pummeled by almost everybody in the Forex markets now. That being the case, we think that this market will eventually grind its way up to the 133.50 level, and possibly quite higher.



As for the Monday 8th daily forecast:

The EUR/JPY pair fell initially during the session on Friday, but bounced off of the 128.50 level in order to form a hammer. Looking at this hammer, it sits just below the 130 level, and as a result it appears that the market is trying to breakout to the upside, so a move and daily close above the 130 level has buying again. In the meantime though, we think that this market will simply grind sideways, but it is still a market that we simply cannot sell though, simply because of the Bank of Japan and its work to devalue the Yen.



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